On 2026-08-10, USD/CAD closed at 1.39509, down 0.45% on the day. It trades at 61.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 35.11 is in the 11th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.50% in the 23rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -27.9% of open interest, at 16% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.40552 / 1.4073 / 1.3856, with price -0.74% / -0.87% / +0.68% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 2.08% below the high and 3.46% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.273% daily, in the 9th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00646 (64.6 pips), 0.46% of price. It has returned -0.44% over 5 days and +1.38% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.39509 -0.448%
price & change (as of 2026-08-10, prior 2026-08-07)
close 1.39509
change -0.00628 (-0.448%, -62.8 pips)
gap -0.00615 (-61.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-10)
range 0.00350 (35.0 pips)
close pos 64.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-10)
20d MA 1.40552 price below by -0.74%
50d MA 1.40730 price below by -0.87%
200d MA 1.38560 price above by +0.68%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-10)
20d stdev 0.273% daily ≈ 4.3% annualized (×√252) (9th pct of own history, since 2003 (5932 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.84× (0.273% vs 0.327% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-10)
ATR(14) 0.00646 (64.6 pips)
ATR% 0.46% (6th pct of own history, since 2003 (5938 obs))
range/ATR 54.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-10)
high 1.42478 (-2.08% from high)
low 1.34840 (+3.46% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-10)
RSI(14) 35.11 (11th pct of own history, since 2003 (5938 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-10)
5d return -0.44%
20d return -1.50%
60d return +1.38%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3267%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -101,748 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -27.9%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 136w)
w/w change +747
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-07, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (37 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-08-07, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (23 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-10)
vs DXY +0.42
vs S&P 500 -0.33
vs DXY beta +0.29 (26w)