On 2026-08-11, USD/JPY closed at 159.156, up 0.80% on the day. It trades at 72.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 41.11 is in the 21st percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -2.02% in the 20th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -14.5% of open interest, at 43% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.116 / 161.197 / 158.086, with price -1.22% / -1.27% / +0.68% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 2.94% below the high and 8.85% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.638% daily, in the 63rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.398 (139.8 pips), 0.88% of price. It has returned +1.03% over 5 days and +0.19% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 159.156 +0.801%
price & change (as of 2026-08-11, prior 2026-08-10)
close 159.156
change +1.265 (+0.801%, +126.5 pips)
gap +1.263 (+126.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-11)
range 0.379 (37.9 pips)
close pos 40.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-11)
20d MA 161.116 price below by -1.22%
50d MA 161.197 price below by -1.27%
200d MA 158.086 price above by +0.68%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-11)
20d stdev 0.638% daily ≈ 10.1% annualized (×√252) (63rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7692 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.07× (0.638% vs 0.595% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-11)
ATR(14) 1.398 (139.8 pips)
ATR% 0.88% (46th pct of own history, since 1996 (7698 obs))
range/ATR 27.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-11)
high 163.979 (-2.94% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.85% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-11)
RSI(14) 41.11 (21st pct of own history, since 1996 (7698 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-11)
5d return +1.03%
20d return -2.02%
60d return +0.19%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5953%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -60,825 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -14.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 136w)
w/w change +41,165
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-11)
vs DXY +0.69
vs S&P 500 -0.37
vs DXY beta +0.74 (26w)