FX daily report for reference date 2026-08-13. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
| close | day % | RSI (pct) | 52wk | 20d ret (pct) | pos net%OI (band) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.153 | -0.12% | 56.4 (70th) | 29.3% | +0.52% (59th) | -6.5% (10% of range) |
| GBP/USD | 1.34978 | -0.09% | 58.1 (75th) | 58.2% | -0.32% (44th) | +15.5% (60% of range) |
| USD/JPY | 159.328 | +0.04% | 42.4 (24th) | 73.8% | -1.69% (23rd) | -14.5% (43% of range) |
| USD/CHF | 0.8129 | +0.23% | 54.6 (67th) | 86.9% | +1.02% (69th) | -9.2% (52% of range) |
| AUD/USD | 0.70639 | -0.00% | 58.7 (75th) | 75.1% | +0.80% (60th) | +16.9% (79% of range) |
| USD/CAD | 1.39406 | +0.15% | 36.2 (13th) | 59.8% | -0.69% (36th) | -27.9% (16% of range) |
| NZD/USD | 0.58611 | -0.32% | 55.4 (66th) | 54.4% | +0.23% (52nd) | -29.7% (0% of range) |
| EUR/GBP | 0.8539 | -0.06% | 43.5 (29th) | 17.9% | +0.82% (70th) | +1.9% (100% of range) |
| EUR/HUF | 363.118 | -0.33% | 56.6 (72nd) | 28.6% | +1.19% (74th) | |
| USD/HUF | 315.325 | -0.14% | 52.7 (60th) | 32.6% | +0.70% (59th) | |
| GBP/HUF | 425.54 | -0.22% | 57.6 (74th) | 38.3% | +0.47% (55th) |
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = how far the reading sits from the pair's own median, 0–100 [0 = at median, 100 = an own-history extreme; = 2×|percentile − 50|] — symmetric, so a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — a magnitude, not a trading signal) NZD/USD positioning net%OI -29.7% (near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) · surprise 100 EUR/GBP positioning net%OI +1.9% (near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%)) · surprise 100 USD/CAD 20d vol 0.236% daily (5th pct, since 2003 (5935 obs)) · surprise 90
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-08-13) level 14.63 change +0.08 (+0.5%) (prior 2026-08-12) 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d) 1yr pctile 5th pctile (252d lookback)
dollar index (DXY) (as of 2026-08-13) (index close is async vs the pairs' UTC snapshot; daily change may not reconcile with the pairs below) level 99.960 change -0.050 (-0.05%) (prior 2026-08-12) 1yr range 96.220 … 101.610 (252d) 1yr pctile 81st pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 99.186 price above by +0.78%
DOLLAR CROWDING (weekly-return correlation to DXY, 26w; how much of the book is one dollar trade — async daily closes cap the magnitude) 6 of 11 pairs correlate |≥ 0.60| to DXY this week EUR/USD -0.84 NZD/USD -0.76 GBP/USD -0.76 USD/CHF +0.70 USD/JPY +0.69 USD/HUF +0.69 EUR/HUF +0.50 AUD/USD -0.47 GBP/HUF +0.44 USD/CAD +0.41 EUR/GBP -0.02
equity market (S&P 500) (as of 2026-08-13) level 7798.99 change +50.49 (+0.65%) (prior 2026-08-12) 1yr range 6343.72 … 7798.99 (252d) 1yr pctile 100th pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 7070.35 price above by +10.31%
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-08-13) >> BoC 2026-09-02 (20 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (20d vol 5th pct) >> RBNZ 2026-09-02 (20 days) · cross-link: NZD/USD (positioning net%OI near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) >> ECB 2026-09-10 (28 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (positioning net%OI near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%)) >> Fed 2026-09-16 (34 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (20d vol 5th pct), NZD/USD (positioning net%OI near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) >> BoE 2026-09-17 (35 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (positioning net%OI near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%))