On 2026-08-14, USD/JPY closed at 159.426, up 0.06% on the day. It trades at 74.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 43.19 is in the 26th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -1.82% in the 22nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -13.5% of open interest, at 45% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 160.685 / 161.16 / 158.166, with price -0.78% / -1.08% / +0.80% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 2.78% below the high and 9.03% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.637% daily, in the 63rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.256 (125.6 pips), 0.79% of price. It has returned +0.64% over 5 days and +0.26% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 159.426 +0.062%
price & change (as of 2026-08-14, prior 2026-08-13)
close 159.426
change +0.098 (+0.062%, +9.8 pips)
gap +0.099 (+9.9 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-14)
range 0.858 (85.8 pips)
close pos 92.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-14)
20d MA 160.685 price below by -0.78%
50d MA 161.160 price below by -1.08%
200d MA 158.166 price above by +0.80%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-14)
20d stdev 0.637% daily ≈ 10.1% annualized (×√252) (63rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7695 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.07× (0.637% vs 0.594% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-14)
ATR(14) 1.256 (125.6 pips)
ATR% 0.79% (32nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7701 obs))
range/ATR 68.3%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-14)
high 163.979 (-2.78% from high)
low 146.217 (+9.03% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-14)
RSI(14) 43.19 (26th pct of own history, since 1996 (7701 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-14)
5d return +0.64%
20d return -1.82%
60d return +0.26%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.88% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.64%
tightening-2015 0.58%
ZIRP-2019 0.42%
tightening-2022 0.68%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -53,070 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -13.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 137w)
w/w change +7,755
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs DXY +0.69
vs S&P 500 -0.36
vs DXY beta +0.74 (26w)