On 2026-08-18, USD/JPY closed at 159.34, up 0.07% on the day. It trades at 73.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 42.96 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -1.94% in the 21st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -13.5% of open interest, at 45% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 160.363 / 161.121 / 158.224, with price -0.64% / -1.11% / +0.71% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 2.83% below the high and 8.98% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.637% daily, in the 63rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.16 (116 pips), 0.73% of price. It has returned +0.12% over 5 days and +0.24% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 159.340 +0.073%
price & change (as of 2026-08-18, prior 2026-08-17)
close 159.340
change +0.117 (+0.073%, +11.7 pips)
gap +0.106 (+10.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-18)
range 0.457 (45.7 pips)
close pos 4.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-18)
20d MA 160.363 price below by -0.64%
50d MA 161.121 price below by -1.11%
200d MA 158.224 price above by +0.71%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-18)
20d stdev 0.637% daily ≈ 10.1% annualized (×√252) (63rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7697 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.07× (0.637% vs 0.593% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-18)
ATR(14) 1.160 (116.0 pips)
ATR% 0.73% (24th pct of own history, since 1996 (7703 obs))
range/ATR 39.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-18)
high 163.979 (-2.83% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.98% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-18)
RSI(14) 42.96 (25th pct of own history, since 1996 (7703 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-18)
5d return +0.12%
20d return -1.94%
60d return +0.24%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.88% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.64%
tightening-2015 0.58%
ZIRP-2019 0.42%
tightening-2022 0.68%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -53,070 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -13.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 137w)
w/w change +7,755
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-17)
vs DXY +0.67
vs S&P 500 -0.39
vs DXY beta +0.70 (26w)