On 2026-08-20, USD/JPY closed at 158.276, down 0.80% on the day. It trades at 67.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 36.74 is in the 11th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -2.95% in the 12th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -13.5% of open interest, at 45% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 159.941 / 161.059 / 158.273, with price -1.04% / -1.73% / +0.00% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 3.48% below the high and 8.25% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.646% daily, in the 64th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.196 (119.6 pips), 0.76% of price. It has returned -0.66% over 5 days and -0.81% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 158.276 -0.798%
price & change (as of 2026-08-20, prior 2026-08-19)
close 158.276
change -1.274 (-0.798%, -127.4 pips)
gap -1.295 (-129.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-20)
range 0.782 (78.2 pips)
close pos 12.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-20)
20d MA 159.941 price below by -1.04%
50d MA 161.059 price below by -1.73%
200d MA 158.273 price above by <+0.01%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-20)
20d stdev 0.646% daily ≈ 10.2% annualized (×√252) (64th pct of own history, since 1996 (7699 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.09× (0.646% vs 0.593% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-20)
ATR(14) 1.196 (119.6 pips)
ATR% 0.76% (28th pct of own history, since 1996 (7705 obs))
range/ATR 65.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-20)
high 163.979 (-3.48% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.25% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-20)
RSI(14) 36.74 (11th pct of own history, since 1996 (7705 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-20)
5d return -0.66%
20d return -2.95%
60d return -0.81%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.88% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.64%
tightening-2015 0.58%
ZIRP-2019 0.42%
tightening-2022 0.68%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -53,070 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -13.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 137w)
w/w change +7,755
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-20)
vs DXY +0.68
vs S&P 500 -0.34
vs DXY beta +0.71 (26w)