On 2026-08-21, GBP/USD closed at 1.36444, up 0.33% on the day. It trades at 75.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 69.02 is in the 95th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +2.49% in the 87th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +15.0% of open interest, at 59% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.34715 / 1.33913 / 1.342, with price +1.28% / +1.89% / +1.67% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 1.46% below the high and 4.86% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.308% daily, in the 6th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.0073 (73 pips), 0.53% of price. It has returned +1.14% over 5 days and +1.49% over 60 days.
=== GBP/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.36444 +0.327% · price > all MAs; RSI(14) 69.02 (95th pct, since 2003 (5877 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals align GBP/USD up: 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-20)
close 1.36444
change +0.00445 (+0.327%, +44.5 pips)
gap +0.00306 (+30.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-21)
range 0.00195 (19.5 pips)
close pos 71.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-21)
20d MA 1.34715 price above by +1.28%
50d MA 1.33913 price above by +1.89%
200d MA 1.34200 price above by +1.67%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-21)
20d stdev 0.308% daily ≈ 4.9% annualized (×√252) (6th pct of own history, since 2003 (5871 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.71× (0.308% vs 0.430% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-21)
ATR(14) 0.00730 (73.0 pips)
ATR% 0.53% (4th pct of own history, since 2003 (5877 obs))
range/ATR 26.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-21)
high 1.38468 (-1.46% from high)
low 1.30117 (+4.86% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-21)
RSI(14) 69.02 (95th pct of own history, since 2003 (5877 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-21)
5d return +1.14%
20d return +2.49%
60d return +1.49%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.61% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.58%
tightening-2015 0.64%
ZIRP-2019 0.56%
tightening-2022 0.65%
easing-2024 0.43%
positioning (as of 2026-08-18)
next COT as of 2026-08-25 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net +42,877 contracts (net long GBP)
net % OI +15.0%
net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 138w)
w/w change +2,207
rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-08-20, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-09-17 (27 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-20, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (26 days)
differential +0.12% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-21)
vs DXY -0.77
vs S&P 500 +0.30
vs DXY beta -0.69 (26w)