On 2026-08-21, USD/CAD closed at 1.37735, down 0.27% on the day. It trades at 37.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 25.34 is in the 2nd percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -2.21% in the 13th percentile. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.7% of open interest, at 29% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.39704 / 1.40667 / 1.38485, with price -1.41% / -2.08% / -0.54% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 3.33% below the high and 2.15% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.259% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00661 (66.1 pips), 0.48% of price. It has returned -1.10% over 5 days and -0.07% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.37735 -0.267% · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 25.34 (2nd pct, since 2003 (5947 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/CAD down: 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-20)
close 1.37735
change -0.00369 (-0.267%, -36.9 pips)
gap -0.00277 (-27.7 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-21)
range 0.00220 (22.0 pips)
close pos 34.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-21)
20d MA 1.39704 price below by -1.41%
50d MA 1.40667 price below by -2.08%
200d MA 1.38485 price below by -0.54%
price < all MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-21)
20d stdev 0.259% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (7th pct of own history, since 2003 (5941 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.79× (0.259% vs 0.326% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-21)
ATR(14) 0.00661 (66.1 pips)
ATR% 0.48% (8th pct of own history, since 2003 (5947 obs))
range/ATR 33.3%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-21)
high 1.42478 (-3.33% from high)
low 1.34840 (+2.15% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-21)
RSI(14) 25.34 (2nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5947 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-21)
5d return -1.10%
20d return -2.21%
60d return -0.07%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.64% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.58%
tightening-2015 0.48%
ZIRP-2019 0.46%
tightening-2022 0.44%
easing-2024 0.33%
positioning (as of 2026-08-18)
next COT as of 2026-08-25 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -88,897 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -24.7%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 138w)
w/w change +3,108
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-20, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (26 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-08-20, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (12 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-21)
vs DXY +0.45
vs S&P 500 -0.25
vs DXY beta +0.33 (26w)