mercatusdata

NZD/USD: 20-day volatility 0.401% daily (5th percentile)

On 2026-10-19, NZD/USD closed at 0.5659, up 0.67% on the day. At the 2026-10-19 close, NZD/USD was 17.5% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-19 close, NZD/USD had an RSI(14) of 47.07, in the 40th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.12% was in the 35th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -9.3% of open interest, at 41% of its own two-year positioning range. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NZD/USD were 0.56356 / 0.57768 / 0.58389, with price +0.41% / -2.04% / -3.08% against them. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 52-week range of NZD/USD was 0.5567–0.60933; it closed 7.13% below the high and 1.65% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.401% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.0045 (45 pips), 0.80% of price. It has returned +0.78% over 5 days and -2.41% over 60 days.

Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-19.

NZD/USD here is the price of one New Zealand dollar in US dollars, so a rise means the New Zealand dollar strengthened against the US dollar. The series is Yahoo Finance’s daily one for NZDUSD=X; currencies trade over the counter, with no central exchange, so this is one data provider’s quote, not an official reference rate such as a central bank’s daily fixing.

=== NZD/USD  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.56590  +0.671%   · 20d vol 0.401% daily (5th pct, since 2003 (5898 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-19, prior 2026-10-16)
    close       0.56590
    change      +0.00377  (+0.671%, +37.7 pips)
    gap         +0.00392  (+39.2 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-10-19)
    range       0.00225  (22.5 pips)
    close pos   27.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-19)
     20d MA     0.56356   price above by +0.41%
     50d MA     0.57768   price below by -2.04%
    200d MA     0.58389   price below by -3.08%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-19)
    20d stdev   0.401% daily ≈ 6.4% annualised (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 2003 (5898 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.69× (0.401% vs 0.583% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-19)
    ATR(14)    0.00450  (45.0 pips)
    ATR%        0.80%   (14th pct of own history, since 2003 (5904 obs))
    range/ATR   50.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-19)
    high        0.60933   (-7.13% from high)
    low         0.55670   (+1.65% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-19)
    RSI(14)     47.07   (40th pct of own history, since 2003 (5904 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-19)
     5d return  +0.78%
    20d return  -1.12%
    60d return  -2.41%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     0.93%   (from 2003-12-01)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         0.84%
    tightening (2015–2018)   0.64%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         0.61%
    tightening (2022–2023)   0.73%
    easing (2024– )          0.58%
  positioning      (as of 2026-10-13)
    next COT     as of 2026-10-20 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -11,619 contracts (net short NZD)
    net % OI    -9.3%
    net%OI range -36.0% … +28.5% (own 146w)
    w/w change  -10,832
  rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
    NZD (RBNZ_OCR)        2.75%  (set 2026-09-02, announced target)
    next RBNZ             2026-10-28  (9 days)
    USD (EFFR)            3.88%  (as of 2026-10-16, daily effective)
    next Fed              2026-10-28  (9 days)
    differential    -1.13%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-19)
    vs DXY      -0.65
    vs S&P 500  +0.27
    vs DXY beta -0.98 (26w)