Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-27, Palladium closed at 1275 USD/oz, up 0.28% on the day. It trades at 17.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 40.77 is in the 23rd percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -10.08% in the 16th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1349.47 / 1544.77 / 1232.9 USD/oz, with price -5.52% / -17.46% / +3.41% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 62.28% below the high and 54.96% above the low. It has returned +5.34% over 5 days and -18.76% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-27, prior 2026-07-26)
    close       1275.00
    change      +3.50  (+0.275%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-27)
    range       22.00
    close pos   20.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-27)
     20d MA     1349.47   price below by -5.52%
     50d MA     1544.77   price below by -17.46%
    200d MA     1232.90   price above by +3.41%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-27)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.307% daily ≈ 68.4% annualized (×√252)   (82nd pct of own history, since 1998 (3013 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.81× (4.307% vs 5.305% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-27)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    56.07
    ATR%        4.40%   (85th pct of own history, since 1998 (3019 obs))
    range/ATR   39.2%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-27)
    high        3380.50   (-62.28% from high)
    low         822.80   (+54.96% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-27)
    RSI(14)     40.77   (23rd pct of own history, since 1998 (3019 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-27)
     5d return  +5.34%
    20d return  -10.08%
    60d return  -18.76%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3049%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.47 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-07-27)
    vs DXY      -0.39 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.11 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.29 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.20 (52w)