Gold: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-30, Gold closed at 4100.1 USD/oz, up 1.62% on the day. It trades at 36.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 49.98 is in the 42nd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of -1.09% in the 32nd percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 4059.16 / 4184.33 / 4465.87 USD/oz, with price +1.01% / -2.01% / -8.19% against them. Its 52-week range is 3263.9–5586.2 USD/oz; it closed 26.60% below the high and 25.62% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.281% daily, in the 74th percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 65.44 USD/oz, 1.60% of price. It has returned +0.80% over 5 days and -12.76% over 60 days.

=== GOLD  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-29)
    close       4100.10
    change      +65.40  (+1.621%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-30)
    range       90.00
    close pos   79.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-30)
     20d MA     4059.16   price above by +1.01%
     50d MA     4184.33   price below by -2.01%
    200d MA     4465.87   price below by -8.19%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-30)
    20d stdev   1.281% daily ≈ 20.3% annualized (×√252)   (74th pct of own history, since 2000 (5672 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.91× (1.281% vs 1.407% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-30)
    ATR(14)    65.44
    ATR%        1.60%   (79th pct of own history, since 2000 (5678 obs))
    range/ATR   137.5%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-30)
    high        5586.20   (-26.60% from high)
    low         3263.90   (+25.62% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-30)
    RSI(14)     49.98   (42nd pct of own history, since 2000 (5678 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-30)
     5d return  +0.80%
    20d return  -1.09%
    60d return  -12.76%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       1.3878%   (from 2000-08-31)
    ZIRP-2009        1.1796%
    tightening-2015  0.8388%
    ZIRP-2019        1.0750%
    tightening-2022  0.9428%
    easing-2024      1.4070%
  real-yield sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-07-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.53 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.46 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-07-30)
    vs DXY      -0.20 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.30 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.55 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.38 (52w)