Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-30, Palladium closed at 1302.2 USD/oz, up 1.54% on the day. It trades at 18.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 41.85 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -8.60% in the 19th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1374.38 / 1557.39 / 1240.96 USD/oz, with price -5.25% / -16.39% / +4.93% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 61.48% below the high and 58.26% above the low. It has returned +4.42% over 5 days and -3.37% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz)  [as of 2026-07-30 · 1d behind 2026-07-31] ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-03)
    close       1302.20
    change      +19.70  (+1.536%)   [spans 19 sessions: prior close is 2026-07-03]
  range            (as of 2026-07-30)
    range       57.70
    close pos   100.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-30)
     20d MA     1374.38   price below by -5.25%
     50d MA     1557.39   price below by -16.39%
    200d MA     1240.96   price above by +4.93%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-30)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.274% daily ≈ 67.8% annualized (×√252)   (81st pct of own history, since 1998 (3010 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.80× (4.274% vs 5.350% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-30)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    64.99
    ATR%        4.99%   (90th pct of own history, since 1998 (3016 obs))
    range/ATR   88.8%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-30)
    high        3380.50   (-61.48% from high)
    low         822.80   (+58.26% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-30)
    RSI(14)     41.85   (25th pct of own history, since 1998 (3016 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-30)
     5d return  +4.42%
    20d return  -8.60%
    60d return  -3.37%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3500%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-07-30)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.26 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-07-30)
    vs DXY      -0.43 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.13 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.29 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.20 (52w)