mercatusdata

GE relative volume: the current reading and its track record

GE’s current relative volume reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.

This page covers General Electric Company (GE) — its current relative volume reading and the measured historical record of what GE relative volume extremes were followed by.

How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently covered by this site — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have ‘worked’ on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.

All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.

Relative volume showed no measurable forward signal. Across the full sample, episodes on this measure were followed by returns statistically indistinguishable from each instrument’s own drift — this is reported as a null result rather than left out.

When GE was at a high extreme

Across 421 past episodes where GE was at a high extreme on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat GE’s own trailing drift by 0.25 percentage points on average (49% of episodes beat drift).

GE forward excess return vs its own drift after high-extreme relative volume readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session-0.03%48%421
5 sessions-0.10%47%421
20 sessions+0.25%49%421

When GE was at a low extreme

Across 334 past episodes where GE was at a low extreme on this signal, the 333 with a complete 20-session forward window beat GE’s own trailing drift by 0.24 percentage points on average (53% of those 333 beat drift).

GE forward excess return vs its own drift after low-extreme relative volume readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session-0.15%44%334
5 sessions+0.08%47%333
20 sessions+0.24%53%333

← all instruments on relative volume

See GE’s current price, RSI, moving averages and 52-week range →