For each common technical signal, this is a measured record of what happened next — across our stock coverage, over years of history, reported as fact including where the signal did nothing.
For each common technical signal, this is a measured record of what happened next — across our stock coverage, over years of history, reported as fact including where the signal did nothing.
How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently in our coverage — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have 'worked' on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.
All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.
Signals
- RSI(14) (6672 episodes measured)
- 52wk position (4427 episodes measured)
- 20d return (4310 episodes measured)
- 20d vol (3327 episodes measured)
- daily % (14042 episodes measured) · no forward signal
- rel volume (12579 episodes measured) · no forward signal