WMT's current 52wk position reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.
WMT is currently at 20.8% of its 52-week range, as of 2026-08-21.
This page covers Walmart (WMT) — its current 52wk position reading and the measured historical record of what WMT 52wk position extremes were followed by.
How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently in our coverage — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have 'worked' on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.
All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.
Measured across WMT’s 52wk position history from 1973 to 2026: 118 overbought episodes and 24 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by -2.10% excess at 5 sessions and -2.10% by 20; oversold readings were followed by +0.73% excess at 5 sessions and +4.48% by 20.
On this signal, WMT was most recently overbought on 2026-05-18 and most recently oversold on 2022-06-13.
Measured-outcome coverage runs through 2026-05-18 — the most recent episode with forward sessions scored; the current reading above is later, as of 2026-08-21.
When WMT was overbought / at a high extreme
Across 118 past episodes where WMT was overbought on this signal, the close 20 sessions later lagged WMT’s own trailing drift by 2.10 percentage points on average (36% of episodes beat drift).
| horizon | excess vs own drift | beat-drift rate | episodes with complete horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -0.34% | 47% | 118 |
| 5 sessions | -2.10% | 40% | 118 |
| 20 sessions | -2.10% | 36% | 118 |
When WMT was oversold / at a low extreme
Across 24 past episodes where WMT was oversold on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat WMT’s own trailing drift by 4.48 percentage points on average (54% of episodes beat drift).
| horizon | excess vs own drift | beat-drift rate | episodes with complete horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | +2.27% | 54% | 24 |
| 5 sessions | +0.73% | 50% | 24 |
| 20 sessions | +4.48% | 54% | 24 |
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