On 2026-07-07, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 388.84 USD, up 0.54% on the day. Its 20-day return of -6.68% is in the 13th percentile. It trades at 19.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 49.15 is in the 36th percentile of its history since 1986. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.33 / correlation +0.57 (52-week); beta +1.54 / correlation +0.58 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-07, prior 2026-07-06)
close 388.84
change +2.10 (+0.543%)
range (as of 2026-07-07)
range 7.35
close pos 8.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-07)
20d MA 383.50 price above by +1.39%
50d MA 406.13 price below by -4.26%
200d MA 444.22 price below by -12.47%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-07)
20d stdev 2.401% daily ≈ 38.1% annualized (×√252) (77th pct of own history, since 1986 (9923 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.52× (2.401% vs 1.576% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-07)
ATR(14) 12.51
ATR% 3.22% (76th pct of own history, since 1986 (9929 obs))
range/ATR 58.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-07)
high 555.45 (-30.00% from high)
low 349.20 (+11.35% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-07)
RSI(14) 49.15 (36th pct of own history, since 1986 (9929 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-07)
5d return +5.50%
20d return -6.68%
60d return +4.23%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5759%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-06)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-07)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.54 corr +0.58 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.33 corr +0.57 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (22 days)