On 2026-07-08, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 383.34 USD, down 1.41% on the day. Its 20-day return of -6.90% is in the 13th percentile. It trades at 16.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 46.53 is in the 29th percentile of its history since 1986. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.33 / correlation +0.57 (52-week); beta +1.54 / correlation +0.58 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-08, prior 2026-07-07)
close 383.34
change -5.50 (-1.414%)
range (as of 2026-07-08)
range 3.98
close pos 50.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-08)
20d MA 382.08 price above by +0.33%
50d MA 405.31 price below by -5.42%
200d MA 443.59 price below by -13.58%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-08)
20d stdev 2.406% daily ≈ 38.2% annualized (×√252) (77th pct of own history, since 1986 (9924 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.53× (2.406% vs 1.576% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-08)
ATR(14) 12.16
ATR% 3.17% (75th pct of own history, since 1986 (9930 obs))
range/ATR 32.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-08)
high 555.45 (-30.99% from high)
low 349.20 (+9.78% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-08)
RSI(14) 46.53 (29th pct of own history, since 1986 (9930 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-08)
5d return +2.77%
20d return -6.90%
60d return +3.36%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5757%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-07)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-08)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.54 corr +0.58 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.33 corr +0.57 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (21 days)