On 2026-07-09, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 384.36 USD, up 0.27% on the day. It trades at 17.0% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of -4.72% is in the 19th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 47.09 is in the 30th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 381.13 / 404.5 / 442.93 USD, with price +0.85% / -4.98% / -13.22% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 30.80% below the high and 10.07% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.376% daily, in the 76th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 12.09 USD, 3.15% of price. It has returned +0.02% over 5 days and -0.00% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.32 / correlation +0.57 (52-week); beta +1.53 / correlation +0.57 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-09, prior 2026-07-08)
close 384.36
change +1.02 (+0.266%)
range (as of 2026-07-09)
range 11.30
close pos 97.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-09)
20d MA 381.13 price above by +0.85%
50d MA 404.50 price below by -4.98%
200d MA 442.93 price below by -13.22%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-09)
20d stdev 2.376% daily ≈ 37.7% annualized (×√252) (76th pct of own history, since 1986 (9925 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.51× (2.376% vs 1.574% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-09)
ATR(14) 12.09
ATR% 3.15% (74th pct of own history, since 1986 (9931 obs))
range/ATR 93.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-09)
high 555.45 (-30.80% from high)
low 349.20 (+10.07% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-09)
RSI(14) 47.09 (30th pct of own history, since 1986 (9931 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-09)
5d return +0.02%
20d return -4.72%
60d return >-0.01%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5745%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.53 corr +0.57 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.32 corr +0.57 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (20 days)