On 2026-07-09, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 938.39 USD, down 1.02% on the day. It trades at 80.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 47.72 is in the 37th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of +2.59% is in the 58th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 969.52 / 922.97 / 706.64 USD, with price -3.21% / +1.67% / +32.80% against them. Its 52-week range is 396.88–1073.46 USD; it closed 12.58% below the high and 136.44% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.799% daily, in the 99th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 42.98 USD, 4.58% of price. It has returned -5.35% over 5 days and +18.52% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.66 / correlation +0.26 (52-week); beta +0.42 / correlation +0.17 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.28 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-09, prior 2026-07-08)
close 938.39
change -9.69 (-1.022%)
range (as of 2026-07-09)
range 48.78
close pos 8.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-09)
20d MA 969.52 price below by -3.21%
50d MA 922.97 price above by +1.67%
200d MA 706.64 price above by +32.80%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-09)
20d stdev 3.799% daily ≈ 60.3% annualized (×√252) (99th pct of own history, since 1962 (16216 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.85× (3.799% vs 2.054% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-09)
ATR(14) 42.98
ATR% 4.58% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16222 obs))
range/ATR 113.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-09)
high 1073.46 (-12.58% from high)
low 396.88 (+136.44% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-09)
RSI(14) 47.72 (37th pct of own history, since 1962 (16222 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-09)
5d return -5.35%
20d return +2.59%
60d return +18.52%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0540%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.28 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.42 corr +0.17 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.66 corr +0.26 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (26 days)