On 2026-07-10, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 952.41 USD, up 1.49% on the day. Its 20-day return of +11.24% is in the 90th percentile. It trades at 82.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 49.76 is in the 43rd percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 974.34 / 925.66 / 709.04 USD, with price -2.25% / +2.89% / +34.32% against them. Its 52-week range is 401.7–1073.46 USD; it closed 11.28% below the high and 137.09% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.473% daily, in the 98th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 42.02 USD, 4.41% of price. It has returned -1.15% over 5 days and +19.91% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.65 / correlation +0.26 (52-week); beta +0.42 / correlation +0.17 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.28 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-10, prior 2026-07-09)
close 952.41
change +14.02 (+1.494%)
range (as of 2026-07-10)
range 29.49
close pos 81.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-10)
20d MA 974.34 price below by -2.25%
50d MA 925.66 price above by +2.89%
200d MA 709.04 price above by +34.32%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-10)
20d stdev 3.473% daily ≈ 55.1% annualized (×√252) (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16217 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.69× (3.473% vs 2.053% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-10)
ATR(14) 42.02
ATR% 4.41% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16223 obs))
range/ATR 70.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-10)
high 1073.46 (-11.28% from high)
low 401.70 (+137.09% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-10)
RSI(14) 49.76 (43rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16223 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-10)
5d return -1.15%
20d return +11.24%
60d return +19.91%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0530%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.28 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-10)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.42 corr +0.17 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.65 corr +0.26 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (25 days)