On 2026-07-13, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 931.47 USD, down 2.20% on the day. It trades at 78.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 46.82 is in the 35th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of +3.77% is in the 64th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 976.03 / 928.09 / 711.34 USD, with price -4.57% / +0.36% / +30.94% against them. Its 52-week range is 401.7–1073.46 USD; it closed 13.23% below the high and 131.88% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.375% daily, in the 97th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.02 USD, 4.40% of price. It has returned -3.96% over 5 days and +20.94% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.67 / correlation +0.27 (52-week); beta +0.49 / correlation +0.20 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.28 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-13, prior 2026-07-10)
close 931.47
change -20.94 (-2.199%)
range (as of 2026-07-13)
range 22.37
close pos 31.7% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-13)
20d MA 976.03 price below by -4.57%
50d MA 928.09 price above by +0.36%
200d MA 711.34 price above by +30.94%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-13)
20d stdev 3.375% daily ≈ 53.6% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16218 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.64× (3.375% vs 2.054% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-13)
ATR(14) 41.02
ATR% 4.40% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16224 obs))
range/ATR 54.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-13)
high 1073.46 (-13.23% from high)
low 401.70 (+131.88% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-13)
RSI(14) 46.82 (35th pct of own history, since 1962 (16224 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-13)
5d return -3.96%
20d return +3.77%
60d return +20.94%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0536%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-10)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.28 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-13)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.49 corr +0.20 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.67 corr +0.27 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (22 days)