On 2026-07-14, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 933.34 USD, up 0.20% on the day. It trades at 79.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 47.12 is in the 36th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of +2.50% is in the 58th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 977.17 / 928.95 / 713.66 USD, with price -4.49% / +0.47% / +30.78% against them. Its 52-week range is 402.23–1073.46 USD; it closed 13.05% below the high and 132.04% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.363% daily, in the 97th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 40.88 USD, 4.38% of price. It has returned -0.72% over 5 days and +20.80% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.67 / correlation +0.26 (52-week); beta +0.47 / correlation +0.20 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.15 (52-week); -0.29 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-14, prior 2026-07-13)
close 933.34
change +1.87 (+0.201%)
range (as of 2026-07-14)
range 39.13
close pos 20.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-14)
20d MA 977.17 price below by -4.49%
50d MA 928.95 price above by +0.47%
200d MA 713.66 price above by +30.78%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-14)
20d stdev 3.363% daily ≈ 53.4% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16219 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.64× (3.363% vs 2.052% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-14)
ATR(14) 40.88
ATR% 4.38% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16225 obs))
range/ATR 95.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-14)
high 1073.46 (-13.05% from high)
low 402.23 (+132.04% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-14)
RSI(14) 47.12 (36th pct of own history, since 1962 (16225 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-14)
5d return -0.72%
20d return +2.50%
60d return +20.80%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0520%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-13)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.29 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-14)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.47 corr +0.20 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.67 corr +0.26 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (21 days)