On 2026-07-15, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 914.3 USD, down 2.04% on the day. It trades at 76.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 44.37 is in the 28th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of -2.10% is in the 34th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 976.19 / 929.44 / 715.92 USD, with price -6.34% / -1.63% / +27.71% against them. Its 52-week range is 403.02–1073.46 USD; it closed 14.83% below the high and 126.86% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.349% daily, in the 97th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.41 USD, 4.53% of price. It has returned -3.56% over 5 days and +15.06% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.66 / correlation +0.26 (52-week); beta +0.47 / correlation +0.19 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.28 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-15, prior 2026-07-14)
close 914.30
change -19.04 (-2.040%)
range (as of 2026-07-15)
range 48.18
close pos 49.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-15)
20d MA 976.19 price below by -6.34%
50d MA 929.44 price below by -1.63%
200d MA 715.92 price above by +27.71%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-15)
20d stdev 3.349% daily ≈ 53.2% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16220 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.63× (3.349% vs 2.052% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-15)
ATR(14) 41.41
ATR% 4.53% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16226 obs))
range/ATR 116.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-15)
high 1073.46 (-14.83% from high)
low 403.02 (+126.86% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-15)
RSI(14) 44.37 (28th pct of own history, since 1962 (16226 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-15)
5d return -3.56%
20d return -2.10%
60d return +15.06%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0523%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-14)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.28 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.47 corr +0.19 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.66 corr +0.26 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (20 days)