On 2026-07-16, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 877.17 USD, down 4.06% on the day. Its 20-day return of -7.22% is in the 14th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 39.52 is in the 17th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 70.7% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 972.77 / 929.49 / 717.97 USD, with price -9.83% / -5.63% / +22.17% against them. Its 52-week range is 403.32–1073.46 USD; it closed 18.29% below the high and 117.49% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.449% daily, in the 98th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.69 USD, 4.75% of price. It has returned -6.52% over 5 days and +9.87% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.71 / correlation +0.27 (52-week); beta +0.54 / correlation +0.21 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.13 (52-week); -0.26 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 877.17
change -37.13 (-4.061%)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 32.93
close pos 25.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 972.77 price below by -9.83%
50d MA 929.49 price below by -5.63%
200d MA 717.97 price above by +22.17%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 3.449% daily ≈ 54.8% annualized (×√252) (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16221 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.68× (3.449% vs 2.058% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 41.69
ATR% 4.75% (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16227 obs))
range/ATR 79.0%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 1073.46 (-18.29% from high)
low 403.32 (+117.49% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 39.52 (17th pct of own history, since 1962 (16227 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return -6.52%
20d return -7.22%
60d return +9.87%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0576%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.26 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.13 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.54 corr +0.21 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.71 corr +0.27 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (19 days)