On 2026-07-15, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 395.63 USD, up 2.78% on the day. It trades at 22.5% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of -1.03% is in the 35th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 53.50 is in the 50th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 380.05 / 402.11 / 440.5 USD, with price +4.10% / -1.61% / -10.19% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 28.77% below the high and 13.30% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.405% daily, in the 77th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 11.99 USD, 3.03% of price. It has returned +3.21% over 5 days and -6.42% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.30 / correlation +0.56 (52-week); beta +1.48 / correlation +0.55 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.32 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-15, prior 2026-07-14)
close 395.63
change +10.70 (+2.780%)
range (as of 2026-07-15)
range 12.56
close pos 73.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-15)
20d MA 380.05 price above by +4.10%
50d MA 402.11 price below by -1.61%
200d MA 440.50 price below by -10.19%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-15)
20d stdev 2.405% daily ≈ 38.2% annualized (×√252) (77th pct of own history, since 1986 (9929 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.53× (2.405% vs 1.576% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-15)
ATR(14) 11.99
ATR% 3.03% (70th pct of own history, since 1986 (9935 obs))
range/ATR 104.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-15)
high 555.45 (-28.77% from high)
low 349.20 (+13.30% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-15)
RSI(14) 53.50 (50th pct of own history, since 1986 (9935 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-15)
5d return +3.21%
20d return -1.03%
60d return -6.42%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5757%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-14)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.32 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.48 corr +0.55 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.30 corr +0.56 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (14 days)