On 2026-07-16, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 401.1 USD, up 1.38% on the day. It trades at 25.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 56.25 is in the 59th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +1.85% is in the 50th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 380.41 / 401.86 / 439.95 USD, with price +5.44% / -0.19% / -8.83% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 27.79% below the high and 14.86% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.399% daily, in the 77th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 12.13 USD, 3.02% of price. It has returned +4.36% over 5 days and -4.06% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.27 / correlation +0.54 (52-week); beta +1.44 / correlation +0.54 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.32 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 401.10
change +5.47 (+1.383%)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 13.94
close pos 64.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 380.41 price above by +5.44%
50d MA 401.86 price below by -0.19%
200d MA 439.95 price below by -8.83%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 2.399% daily ≈ 38.1% annualized (×√252) (77th pct of own history, since 1986 (9930 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.52× (2.399% vs 1.575% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 12.13
ATR% 3.02% (70th pct of own history, since 1986 (9936 obs))
range/ATR 114.9%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 555.45 (-27.79% from high)
low 349.20 (+14.86% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 56.25 (59th pct of own history, since 1986 (9936 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return +4.36%
20d return +1.85%
60d return -4.06%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5754%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.32 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.44 corr +0.54 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.27 corr +0.54 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (13 days)