On 2026-07-17, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 880.28 USD, up 0.35% on the day. Its 20-day return of -7.91% is in the 12th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 40.11 is in the 18th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 71.1% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 968.99 / 929 / 720.02 USD, with price -9.15% / -5.24% / +22.26% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 18.00% below the high and 117.11% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.437% daily, in the 98th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 42.63 USD, 4.84% of price. It has returned -7.57% over 5 days and +9.97% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.75 / correlation +0.29 (52-week); beta +0.62 / correlation +0.24 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.15 (52-week); -0.27 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-17, prior 2026-07-16)
close 880.28
change +3.11 (+0.355%)
range (as of 2026-07-17)
range 54.86
close pos 76.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-17)
20d MA 968.99 price below by -9.15%
50d MA 929.00 price below by -5.24%
200d MA 720.02 price above by +22.26%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-17)
20d stdev 3.437% daily ≈ 54.6% annualized (×√252) (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16222 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.67× (3.437% vs 2.056% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-17)
ATR(14) 42.63
ATR% 4.84% (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16228 obs))
range/ATR 128.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-17)
high 1073.46 (-18.00% from high)
low 405.46 (+117.11% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-17)
RSI(14) 40.11 (18th pct of own history, since 1962 (16228 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-17)
5d return -7.57%
20d return -7.91%
60d return +9.97%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0560%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.27 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-17)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.62 corr +0.24 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.75 corr +0.29 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (18 days)