On 2026-07-20, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 864.3 USD, down 1.81% on the day. Its 20-day return of -12.33% is in the 4th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 38.06 is in the 15th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 68.7% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 962.91 / 927.75 / 721.95 USD, with price -10.24% / -6.84% / +19.72% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 19.48% below the high and 113.17% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.350% daily, in the 97th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.95 USD, 4.85% of price. It has returned -7.21% over 5 days and +6.85% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.75 / correlation +0.29 (52-week); beta +0.60 / correlation +0.24 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.12 (52-week); -0.24 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-17)
close 864.30
change -15.98 (-1.815%)
range (as of 2026-07-20)
range 33.10
close pos 9.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-20)
20d MA 962.91 price below by -10.24%
50d MA 927.75 price below by -6.84%
200d MA 721.95 price above by +19.72%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-20)
20d stdev 3.350% daily ≈ 53.2% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16223 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.63× (3.350% vs 2.056% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-20)
ATR(14) 41.95
ATR% 4.85% (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16229 obs))
range/ATR 78.9%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-20)
high 1073.46 (-19.48% from high)
low 405.46 (+113.17% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-20)
RSI(14) 38.06 (15th pct of own history, since 1962 (16229 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-20)
5d return -7.21%
20d return -12.33%
60d return +6.85%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0560%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-17)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.24 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.12 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-20)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.60 corr +0.24 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.75 corr +0.29 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (15 days)