On 2026-07-21, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 889.97 USD, up 2.97% on the day. Its 20-day return of -12.94% is in the 4th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 43.10 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 72.5% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 956.3 / 927.64 / 724 USD, with price -6.94% / -4.06% / +22.92% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 17.09% below the high and 119.50% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.305% daily, in the 97th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.36 USD, 4.65% of price. It has returned -4.65% over 5 days and +6.55% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.73 / correlation +0.28 (52-week); beta +0.59 / correlation +0.23 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.11 (52-week); -0.24 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-21, prior 2026-07-20)
close 889.97
change +25.67 (+2.970%)
range (as of 2026-07-21)
range 21.99
close pos 63.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-21)
20d MA 956.30 price below by -6.94%
50d MA 927.64 price below by -4.06%
200d MA 724.00 price above by +22.92%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-21)
20d stdev 3.305% daily ≈ 52.5% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16224 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.61× (3.305% vs 2.057% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-21)
ATR(14) 41.36
ATR% 4.65% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16230 obs))
range/ATR 53.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-21)
high 1073.46 (-17.09% from high)
low 405.46 (+119.50% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-21)
RSI(14) 43.10 (25th pct of own history, since 1962 (16230 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-21)
5d return -4.65%
20d return -12.94%
60d return +6.55%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0573%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.24 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.11 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.59 corr +0.23 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.73 corr +0.28 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (14 days)