On 2026-07-27, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 873.28 USD, down 1.74% on the day. Its 20-day return of -12.45% is in the 4th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 40.55 is in the 19th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 70.0% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 931.93 / 925.78 / 731.87 USD, with price -6.29% / -5.67% / +19.32% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 18.65% below the high and 115.38% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.568% daily, in the 89th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 39.46 USD, 4.52% of price. It has returned +1.04% over 5 days and +7.81% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.73 / correlation +0.27 (52-week); beta +0.59 / correlation +0.24 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.11 (52-week); -0.24 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-27, prior 2026-07-24)
close 873.28
change -15.45 (-1.738%)
range (as of 2026-07-27)
range 54.31
close pos 62.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-27)
20d MA 931.93 price below by -6.29%
50d MA 925.78 price below by -5.67%
200d MA 731.87 price above by +19.32%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-27)
20d stdev 2.568% daily ≈ 40.8% annualized (×√252) (89th pct of own history, since 1962 (16228 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.25× (2.568% vs 2.053% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-27)
ATR(14) 39.46
ATR% 4.52% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16234 obs))
range/ATR 137.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-27)
high 1073.46 (-18.65% from high)
low 405.46 (+115.38% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-27)
RSI(14) 40.55 (19th pct of own history, since 1962 (16234 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-27)
5d return +1.04%
20d return -12.45%
60d return +7.81%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0526%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-24)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.24 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.11 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-27)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.59 corr +0.24 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.73 corr +0.27 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (8 days)