On 2026-07-29, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 782.71 USD, down 6.91% on the day. Its 20-day return of -26.50% is in the 0th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 29.11 is in the 4th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 56.5% of its 52-week range. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 908.21 / 922.08 / 734.98 USD, with price -13.82% / -15.11% / +6.49% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 27.09% below the high and 93.04% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.594% daily, in the 90th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.94 USD, 5.36% of price. It has returned -11.99% over 5 days and -12.02% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.86 / correlation +0.30 (52-week); beta +0.79 / correlation +0.28 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.09 (52-week); -0.15 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-29, prior 2026-07-28)
close 782.71
change -58.14 (-6.914%)
range (as of 2026-07-29)
range 46.80
close pos 14.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-29)
20d MA 908.21 price below by -13.82%
50d MA 922.08 price below by -15.11%
200d MA 734.98 price above by +6.49%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-29)
20d stdev 2.594% daily ≈ 41.2% annualized (×√252) (90th pct of own history, since 1962 (16230 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.25× (2.594% vs 2.074% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-29)
ATR(14) 41.94
ATR% 5.36% (99th pct of own history, since 1962 (16236 obs))
range/ATR 111.6%
relative volume (as of 2026-07-29)
RVOL 2.04x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 95th pct of own history, since 1962 (16230 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-07-29)
high 1073.46 (-27.09% from high)
low 405.46 (+93.04% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-29)
RSI(14) 29.11 (4th pct of own history, since 1962 (16236 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-29)
5d return -11.99%
20d return -26.50%
60d return -12.02%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0741%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-29)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.09 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-29)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.79 corr +0.28 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.86 corr +0.30 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (6 days)