On 2026-07-28, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 840.85 USD, down 3.71% on the day. Its 20-day return of -18.62% is in the 1st percentile. Its RSI(14) of 35.75 is in the 11th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 65.2% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 922.31 / 924.19 / 733.57 USD, with price -8.83% / -9.02% / +14.62% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 21.67% below the high and 107.38% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.453% daily, in the 87th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 40.17 USD, 4.78% of price. It has returned -5.52% over 5 days and -5.53% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.73 / correlation +0.27 (52-week); beta +0.59 / correlation +0.23 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.12 (52-week); -0.22 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-28, prior 2026-07-27)
close 840.85
change -32.43 (-3.714%)
range (as of 2026-07-28)
range 31.82
close pos 53.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-28)
20d MA 922.31 price below by -8.83%
50d MA 924.19 price below by -9.02%
200d MA 733.57 price above by +14.62%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-28)
20d stdev 2.453% daily ≈ 38.9% annualized (×√252) (87th pct of own history, since 1962 (16229 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.19× (2.453% vs 2.057% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-28)
ATR(14) 40.17
ATR% 4.78% (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16235 obs))
range/ATR 79.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-28)
high 1073.46 (-21.67% from high)
low 405.46 (+107.38% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-28)
RSI(14) 35.75 (11th pct of own history, since 1962 (16235 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-28)
5d return -5.52%
20d return -18.62%
60d return -5.53%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0568%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-27)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.22 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.12 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-28)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.59 corr +0.23 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.73 corr +0.27 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (7 days)