On 2026-07-30, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 451.1 USD, up 15.51% on the day. Its 20-day return of +17.39% is in the 95th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 71.81 is in the 94th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 49.4% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 393.15 / 398.46 / 433.83 USD, with price +14.74% / +13.21% / +3.98% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 18.79% below the high and 29.18% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.762% daily, in the 95th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 15.9 USD, 3.52% of price. It has returned +18.22% over 5 days and +9.06% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.37 / correlation +0.48 (52-week); beta +1.43 / correlation +0.45 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.26 (52-week); -0.39 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-29)
close 451.10
change +60.56 (+15.507%)
range (as of 2026-07-30)
range 26.25
close pos 71.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-30)
20d MA 393.15 price above by +14.74%
50d MA 398.46 price above by +13.21%
200d MA 433.83 price above by +3.98%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-30)
20d stdev 3.762% daily ≈ 59.7% annualized (×√252) (95th pct of own history, since 1986 (9940 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.23× (3.762% vs 1.688% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-30)
ATR(14) 15.90
ATR% 3.52% (83rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9946 obs))
range/ATR 165.1%
relative volume (as of 2026-07-30)
RVOL 3.41x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 100th pct of own history, since 1986 (9940 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-07-30)
high 555.45 (-18.79% from high)
low 349.20 (+29.18% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-30)
RSI(14) 71.81 (94th pct of own history, since 1986 (9946 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-30)
5d return +18.22%
20d return +17.39%
60d return +9.06%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.6884%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-29)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.39 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.26 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-30)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.43 corr +0.45 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.37 corr +0.48 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (90 days)