On 2026-07-31, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 814.81 USD, up 0.70% on the day. Its 20-day return of -15.43% is in the 2nd percentile. Its RSI(14) of 36.25 is in the 11th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 61.3% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 891.66 / 920.08 / 738.12 USD, with price -8.62% / -11.44% / +10.39% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 24.09% below the high and 100.96% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.470% daily, in the 88th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 41.51 USD, 5.09% of price. It has returned -8.32% over 5 days and -9.92% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.67 / correlation +0.24 (52-week); beta +0.50 / correlation +0.19 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.10 (52-week); -0.17 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-08-04.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-31, prior 2026-07-30)
close 814.81
change +5.67 (+0.701%)
range (as of 2026-07-31)
range 37.69
close pos 19.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-31)
20d MA 891.66 price below by -8.62%
50d MA 920.08 price below by -11.44%
200d MA 738.12 price above by +10.39%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-31)
20d stdev 2.470% daily ≈ 39.2% annualized (×√252) (88th pct of own history, since 1962 (16232 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.19× (2.470% vs 2.075% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-31)
ATR(14) 41.51
ATR% 5.09% (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16238 obs))
range/ATR 90.8%
relative volume (as of 2026-07-31)
RVOL 0.79x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 37th pct of own history, since 1962 (16232 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-07-31)
high 1073.46 (-24.09% from high)
low 405.46 (+100.96% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-31)
RSI(14) 36.25 (11th pct of own history, since 1962 (16238 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-31)
5d return -8.32%
20d return -15.43%
60d return -9.92%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0748%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-30)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.17 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.10 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-31)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.50 corr +0.19 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.67 corr +0.24 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-08-04 (4 days)