On 2026-08-04, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 876.54 USD, up 5.60% on the day. Its 20-day return of -6.76% is in the 15th percentile. It trades at 70.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 48.36 is in the 39th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 881.48 / 919.44 / 741.34 USD, with price -0.56% / -4.67% / +18.24% against them. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 18.34% below the high and 116.18% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.828% daily, in the 94th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 45.33 USD, 5.17% of price. It has returned +4.24% over 5 days and -2.14% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.84 / correlation +0.30 (52-week); beta +0.71 / correlation +0.29 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.15 (52-week); -0.21 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-04, prior 2026-08-03)
close 876.54
change +46.51 (+5.603%)
range (as of 2026-08-04)
range 68.15
close pos 14.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-04)
20d MA 881.48 price below by -0.56%
50d MA 919.44 price below by -4.67%
200d MA 741.34 price above by +18.24%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-04)
20d stdev 2.828% daily ≈ 44.9% annualized (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16234 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.36× (2.828% vs 2.084% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-04)
ATR(14) 45.33
ATR% 5.17% (99th pct of own history, since 1962 (16240 obs))
range/ATR 150.3%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-04)
RVOL 2.06x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 95th pct of own history, since 1962 (16234 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-04)
high 1073.46 (-18.34% from high)
low 405.46 (+116.18% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-04)
RSI(14) 48.36 (39th pct of own history, since 1962 (16240 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-04)
5d return +4.24%
20d return -6.76%
60d return -2.14%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.8267% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.0221%
tightening-2015 1.7203%
ZIRP-2019 2.1140%
tightening-2022 1.9636%
easing-2024 2.0836%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-03)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.21 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-04)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.71 corr +0.29 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.84 corr +0.30 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (86 days)