On 2026-08-21, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 827.9 USD, up 1.53% on the day. Its 20-day return of -6.84% is in the 15th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 42.81 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 63.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI last entered overbought 102 days ago (2026-05-11) and oversold 23 days ago (2026-07-29). It is trading above some and below others of its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 841.36 / 905.55 / 761.1 USD, with price -1.60% / -8.57% / +8.78% against them. Its moving averages stack 50-day > 20-day > 200-day. Its 52-week range is 410.52–1073.46 USD; it closed 22.88% below the high and 101.67% above the low. The high was set 52 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 353 days ago (2025-09-02). It is 22.88% below its all-time high, set 52 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.896% daily, in the 94th percentile of its history since 1962. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 3.120%, 20-day 2.896%, 60-day 3.008%, and 120-day 2.823% daily. Annualized, these are 5-day 49.5%, 20-day 46.0%, 60-day 47.8%, and 120-day 44.8%. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 34.43 USD, 4.16% of price. It has returned -3.35% (17th pctile) over 5 days, -1.70% (34th) over 10 days, -6.84% (15th) over 20 days, -9.01% (19th) over 60 days, +10.05% (58th) over 120 days, and +96.84% (98th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.81 / correlation +0.30 (52-week); beta +0.78 / correlation +0.34 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -10.38% (20-day), -11.06% (60-day), and +76.85% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.08 (52-week); -0.10 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-20)
close 827.90
change +12.51 (+1.534%)
listing Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-08-21)
range 19.66
close pos 79.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-21)
20d MA 841.36 price below by -1.60%
50d MA 905.55 price below by -8.57%
200d MA 761.10 price above by +8.78%
200d MA slope +4.27% over 20 sessions (rising)
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-07-28 (24d ago)
20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27 (420d ago)
50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-07-16 (401d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-08-21)
20d stdev 2.896% daily ≈ 46.0% annualized (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16247 obs))
5d vol 3.120% daily ≈ 49.5% annualized (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16262 obs))
60d vol 3.008% daily ≈ 47.8% annualized (×√252) (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16207 obs))
120d vol 2.823% daily ≈ 44.8% annualized (×√252) (95th pct of own history, since 1962 (16147 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.39× (2.896% vs 2.082% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-21)
ATR(14) 34.43
ATR% 4.16% (96th pct of own history, since 1962 (16253 obs))
range/ATR 57.1%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-21)
RVOL 0.79x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 37th pct of own history, since 1962 (16247 obs)
avg vol 63d 3,265,219 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-21)
high 1073.46 (-22.88% from high) [2026-06-30, 52d ago]
low 410.52 (+101.67% from low) [2025-09-02, 353d ago]
drawdown -22.88% from all-time high, 52d ago (2026-06-30)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -46.25% (2018-01-22 170.89 -> 2020-03-23 91.85, 791d peak-to-trough); recovered 2020-11-10 (232d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-08-21)
RSI(14) 42.81 (25th pct of own history, since 1962 (16253 obs))
last overbought 102d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 23d ago (2026-07-29)
MACD (as of 2026-08-21)
MACD(12,26,9) -17.16 (above signal) signal -17.51 hist +0.35
returns (as of 2026-08-21)
5d return -3.35% from 856.57 on 2026-08-14 (17th pct of own history, since 1962 (16262 obs))
10d return -1.70% from 842.19 on 2026-08-07 (34th pct of own history, since 1962 (16257 obs))
20d return -6.84% from 888.73 on 2026-07-24 (15th pct of own history, since 1962 (16247 obs))
60d return -9.01% from 909.93 on 2026-05-27 (19th pct of own history, since 1962 (16207 obs))
120d return +10.05% from 752.32 on 2026-03-02 (58th pct of own history, since 1962 (16147 obs))
252d return +96.84% from 420.59 on 2025-08-20 (98th pct of own history, since 1962 (16015 obs))
YTD return +44.52%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.02%
tightening-2015 1.72%
ZIRP-2019 2.11%
tightening-2022 1.96%
easing-2024 2.08%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-20)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.10 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.08 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-21)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.78 corr +0.34 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.81 corr +0.30 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -10.38% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -11.06% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +76.85% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.56 corr +0.38 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.55 corr +0.32 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -11.11% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -6.82% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +70.77% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.45 corr +0.66 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.50 corr +0.63 (52w)
vs XLI -5.53% rel (20d return)
vs XLI -12.43% rel (60d return)
vs XLI +77.65% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (69 days)