mercatusdata

Costco (COST): RSI(14) 73.38 (96th percentile)

On 2026-10-20, Costco (COST) closed at 994.61 USD, down 0.09% on the day. At the 2026-10-20 close, Costco (COST) had an RSI(14) of 73.38, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +10.58% is in the 91st percentile of its history since 1986. At the 2026-10-20 close, Costco (COST) traded at 59.6% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. The RSI(14) of Costco (COST) last entered the overbought zone 4 days ago (2026-10-16) and the oversold zone 302 days ago (2025-12-22). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Costco (COST) were 943.35 / 935.58 / 967.49 USD, with price +5.43% / +6.31% / +2.80% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 20-day and 50-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of Costco (COST) was 844.06–1096.5 USD; it closed 9.29% below the high (6.4× its typical daily range) and 17.84% above the low (9.5× its typical daily range). The high was set 154 days ago (2026-05-19) and the low 308 days ago (2025-12-16). At the 2026-10-20 close, Costco (COST) was 9.29% below its all-time intraday high of 1096.5 USD, set 154 days ago (2026-05-19). Its 20-day volatility is 1.086% daily, in the 25th percentile of its history since 1986. Its daily realised volatility is 1.290% over 5 days, 1.086% over 20 days, 1.120% over 60 days and 1.310% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 20.5%, 17.2%, 17.8% and 20.8% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 15.9 USD, 1.60% of price. It has returned +4.19% (87th percentile since 1986) over 5 days, +6.30% (88th) over 10 days, +10.58% (91st) over 20 days, +4.52% (52nd) over 60 days, -0.41% (31st) over 120 days and +6.22% (33rd) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of -0.01 and a correlation of -0.01 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -0.49 and a correlation of -0.27. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +5.38% (5-day), +7.66% (10-day), +11.26% (20-day), +0.48% (60-day) and -9.51% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.15 over 52 weeks and +0.08 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-12-10.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.

=== COSTCO (COST)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-20, prior 2026-10-19)
    close       994.61
    change      -0.92  (-0.092%)
    vs market   S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-20)
    range       12.00
    close pos   30.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-20)
     20d MA     943.35   price above by +5.43%
     50d MA     935.58   price above by +6.31%
    200d MA     967.49   price above by +2.80%
    200d MA slope  +0.76% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-10-19   (1d ago)
    20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-07-09   (103d ago)
    50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-08-03   (78d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-20)
    20d stdev   1.086% daily ≈ 17.2% annualised (×√252)   (25th pct of own history, since 1986 (10129 obs))
      5d vol     1.290% daily ≈ 20.5% annualised (×√252)   (47th pct of own history, since 1986 (10144 obs))
     60d vol     1.120% daily ≈ 17.8% annualised (×√252)   (23rd pct of own history, since 1986 (10089 obs))
    120d vol     1.310% daily ≈ 20.8% annualised (×√252)   (37th pct of own history, since 1986 (10029 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.85× (1.086% vs 1.278% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-20)
    ATR(14)    15.90
    ATR%        1.60%   (22nd pct of own history, since 1986 (10135 obs))
    range/ATR   75.5%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-20)
    RVOL        0.95x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      55th pct of own history, since 1986 (10129 obs)
    avg vol 63d 2,066,765  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-20)
    high        1096.50   (-9.29% from high)   [2026-05-19, 154d ago]
    low         844.06   (+17.84% from low)   [2025-12-16, 308d ago]
    drawdown    -9.29% from all-time intraday high, 154d ago (2026-05-19)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -31.51% (2022-04-07 608.05 -> 2022-05-20 416.43, 43d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-12-07 (566d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-20)
    RSI(14)     73.38   (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (10135 obs))
    last overbought   4d ago (2026-10-16)
    last oversold   302d ago (2025-12-22)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-20)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +18.33 (above signal)   signal +10.99   hist +7.34
  returns          (as of 2026-10-20)
      5d return  +4.19%   from 954.63 on 2026-10-13   (87th pct of own history, since 1986 (10144 obs))
     10d return  +6.30%   from 935.68 on 2026-10-06   (88th pct of own history, since 1986 (10139 obs))
     20d return  +10.58%   from 899.41 on 2026-09-22   (91st pct of own history, since 1986 (10129 obs))
     60d return  +4.52%   from 951.58 on 2026-07-27   (52nd pct of own history, since 1986 (10089 obs))
    120d return  -0.41%   from 998.67 on 2026-04-29   (31st pct of own history, since 1986 (10029 obs))
    252d return  +6.22%   from 936.33 on 2025-10-17   (33rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9897 obs))
    YTD return  +15.34%   from 862.34 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     2.33%   (from 1986-07-09)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         1.23%
    tightening (2015–2018)   1.26%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         1.39%
    tightening (2022–2023)   1.64%
    easing (2024– )          1.28%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-19)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.08 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-20)
    vs S&P 500  beta -0.49  corr -0.27  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta -0.01  corr -0.01  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +5.38% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  +7.66% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +11.26% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +0.48% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -9.51% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.35  corr -0.38  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.14  corr -0.13  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +7.68% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +11.83% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +14.58% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.68% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -12.60% rel (252d return)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +1.01  corr +0.70  (26w)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +0.95  corr +0.67  (52w)
    vs XLP  -0.04% rel (5d return)
    vs XLP  -0.98% rel (10d return)
    vs XLP  +4.52% rel (20d return)
    vs XLP  +1.72% rel (60d return)
    vs XLP  -3.83% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-12-10  (51 days)
    last reported 2026-09-24  (26 days ago)