mercatusdata

Intel (INTC): 20-day return -25.97% (1st percentile)

On 2026-10-20, Intel (INTC) closed at 91.69 USD, down 0.37% on the day. Its 20-day return of -25.97% is in the 1st percentile of its history since 1980. At the 2026-10-20 close, Intel (INTC) had an RSI(14) of 34.39, in the 7th percentile of its history since 1980. At the 2026-10-20 close, Intel (INTC) traded at 53.7% of its 52-week range. The RSI(14) of Intel (INTC) last entered the overbought zone 29 days ago (2026-09-21) and the oversold zone 445 days ago (2025-08-01). It is trading above its 200-day but below its 20- and 50-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Intel (INTC) were 109.47 / 102.86 / 85.09 USD, with price -16.24% / -10.86% / +7.75% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of Intel (INTC) was 32.89–142.35 USD; it closed 35.59% below the high (8.8× its typical daily range) and 178.78% above the low (10.2× its typical daily range). The high was set 112 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 333 days ago (2025-11-21). At the 2026-10-20 close, Intel (INTC) was 35.59% below its all-time intraday high of 142.35 USD, set 112 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.934% daily, in the 76th percentile of its history since 1980. Its daily realised volatility is 3.300% over 5 days, 2.934% over 20 days, 4.258% over 60 days and 4.983% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 52.4%, 46.6%, 67.6% and 79.1% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.76 USD, 6.29% of price. It has returned -10.82% (3rd percentile since 1980) over 5 days, -18.50% (1st) over 10 days, -25.97% (1st) over 20 days, +0.02% (43rd) over 60 days, -3.23% (36th) over 120 days and +147.74% (97th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +3.72 and a correlation of +0.58 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +4.49 and a correlation of +0.53. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -9.63% (5-day), -17.14% (10-day), -25.30% (20-day), -4.02% (60-day) and +132.01% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.13 over 52 weeks and +0.05 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.

=== INTEL (INTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-20, prior 2026-10-19)
    close       91.69
    change      -0.34  (-0.369%)
    vs market   S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-20)
    range       4.96
    close pos   58.9% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-20)
     20d MA     109.47   price below by -16.24%
     50d MA     102.86   price below by -10.86%
    200d MA     85.09   price above by +7.75%
    200d MA slope  +9.17% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-09-21   (29d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-08-22   (424d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-08-15   (431d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-20)
    20d stdev   2.934% daily ≈ 46.6% annualised (×√252)   (76th pct of own history, since 1980 (11266 obs))
      5d vol     3.300% daily ≈ 52.4% annualised (×√252)   (83rd pct of own history, since 1980 (11281 obs))
     60d vol     4.258% daily ≈ 67.6% annualised (×√252)   (91st pct of own history, since 1980 (11226 obs))
    120d vol     4.983% daily ≈ 79.1% annualised (×√252)   (97th pct of own history, since 1980 (11166 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.70× (2.934% vs 4.165% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-20)
    ATR(14)    5.76
    ATR%        6.29%   (95th pct of own history, since 1980 (11272 obs))
    range/ATR   86.1%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-20)
    RVOL        0.83x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      38th pct of own history, since 1980 (11266 obs)
    avg vol 63d 107,271,833  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-20)
    high        142.35   (-35.59% from high)   [2026-06-30, 112d ago]
    low         32.89   (+178.78% from low)   [2025-11-21, 333d ago]
    drawdown    -35.59% from all-time intraday high, 112d ago (2026-06-30)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -73.52% (2020-01-24 68.47 -> 2025-04-08 18.13, 1901d peak-to-trough); recovered 2026-04-16 (373d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-20)
    RSI(14)     34.39   (7th pct of own history, since 1980 (11272 obs))
    last overbought   29d ago (2026-09-21)
    last oversold   445d ago (2025-08-01)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-20)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -3.91 (below signal)   signal -0.84   hist -3.07
  returns          (as of 2026-10-20)
      5d return  -10.82%   from 102.81 on 2026-10-13   (3rd pct of own history, since 1980 (11281 obs))
     10d return  -18.50%   from 112.50 on 2026-10-06   (1st pct of own history, since 1980 (11276 obs))
     20d return  -25.97%   from 123.86 on 2026-09-22   (1st pct of own history, since 1980 (11266 obs))
     60d return  +0.02%   from 91.67 on 2026-07-27   (43rd pct of own history, since 1980 (11226 obs))
    120d return  -3.23%   from 94.75 on 2026-04-29   (36th pct of own history, since 1980 (11166 obs))
    252d return  +147.74%   from 37.01 on 2025-10-17   (97th pct of own history, since 1980 (11034 obs))
    YTD return  +148.48%   from 36.90 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     2.87%   (from 1980-03-18)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         1.64%
    tightening (2015–2018)   1.60%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         2.46%
    tightening (2022–2023)   2.43%
    easing (2024– )          4.17%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-19)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.05 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.13 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-20)
    vs S&P 500  beta +4.49  corr +0.53  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +3.72  corr +0.58  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -9.63% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -17.14% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -25.30% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  -4.02% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +132.01% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +2.98  corr +0.70  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +2.75  corr +0.68  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -7.33% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -12.97% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -21.98% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -5.18% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +128.92% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +2.07  corr +0.67  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +2.01  corr +0.65  (52w)
    vs XLK  -5.29% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -10.30% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  -20.45% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  -6.37% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  +117.62% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-29  (9 days)
    last reported 2026-07-23  (89 days ago)