FX daily report for reference date 2026-06-25. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = distance from each pair's own median — a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — not a trading signal) USD/CAD RSI(14) 84.86 (100th pct, since 2003) · surprise 100 USD/JPY 52wk position 99.4% of range (52wk) · surprise 99 EUR/USD RSI(14) 24.89 (1st pct, since 2003) · surprise 98 AUD/USD RSI(14) 27.42 (2nd pct, since 2006) · surprise 96 NZD/USD RSI(14) 27.91 (3rd pct, since 2003) · surprise 94 USD/CHF RSI(14) 71.37 (97th pct, since 2003) · surprise 94 [1d behind]
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-06-25) level 18.00 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d)
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-06-25) >> RBNZ 2026-07-08 (13 days) · cross-link: NZD/USD (RSI(14) 3rd pct) >> BoC 2026-07-15 (20 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (RSI(14) 100th pct) >> ECB 2026-07-23 (28 days) · cross-link: EUR/USD (RSI(14) 1st pct) >> Fed 2026-07-29 (34 days) · cross-link: EUR/USD (RSI(14) 1st pct), USD/JPY (52wk position 99.4% of range), USD/CHF (RSI(14) 97th pct), AUD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct), USD/CAD (RSI(14) 100th pct), NZD/USD (RSI(14) 3rd pct) >> BoJ 2026-07-31 (36 days) · cross-link: USD/JPY (52wk position 99.4% of range) >> RBA 2026-08-11 (47 days) · cross-link: AUD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct) >> SNB 2026-09-24 (91 days) · cross-link: USD/CHF (RSI(14) 97th pct)