USD/JPY: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-06-29, USD/JPY closed at 161.787, down 0.01% on the day. It trades at 99.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 74.21 is in the 97th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.53% in the 71st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.5% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== USD/JPY  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 161.787  -0.011%   · 52wk position 99.0% of range (52wk)
     cross-signal: signals align USD/JPY up: 52wk position, RSI(14), positioning net%OI, 20d return
  price & change   (as of 2026-06-29, prior 2026-06-26)
    close       161.787
    change      -0.018  (-0.011%, -1.8 pips)
    gap         -0.042  (-4.2 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-06-29)
    range       0.236  (23.6 pips)
    close pos   28.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-06-29)
     20d MA     160.676   price above by +0.69%
     50d MA     159.393   price above by +1.50%
    200d MA     156.393   price above by +3.45%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-06-29)
    20d stdev   0.141% daily
  ATR              (as of 2026-06-29)
    ATR(14)    0.526  (52.6 pips)
    ATR%        0.33%
    range/ATR   44.9%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-06-29)
    high        161.955   (-0.10% from high)
    low         145.765   (+10.99% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-06-29)
    RSI(14)     74.21
  returns          (as of 2026-06-29)
     5d return  +0.22%
    20d return  +1.53%
    60d return  +1.26%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.8804%
    ZIRP-2009        0.6396%
    tightening-2015  0.5829%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4159%
    tightening-2022  0.6795%
    easing-2024      0.5978%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-23)
    net         -97,092 contracts (net short JPY)
    net % OI    -22.5%
    net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 130w)
    w/w change  -320
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs DXY      +0.56
    vs S&P 500  -0.12
    vs DXY beta +0.77 (26w)