USD/JPY: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-06-30, USD/JPY closed at 161.923, up 0.08% on the day. It trades at 95.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 75.41 is in the 98th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.43% in the 70th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.5% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== USD/JPY  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 161.923  +0.084%   · RSI(14) 75.41 (98th pct, since 1996) while price > all MAs
     cross-signal: signals align USD/JPY up: RSI(14), 52wk position, positioning net%OI, 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-06-30, prior 2026-06-29)
    close       161.923
    change      +0.136  (+0.084%, +13.6 pips)
    gap         +0.133  (+13.3 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-06-30)
    range       0.731  (73.1 pips)
    close pos   0.4% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-06-30)
     20d MA     160.791   price above by +0.70%
     50d MA     159.455   price above by +1.55%
    200d MA     156.463   price above by +3.49%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-06-30)
    20d stdev   0.139% daily
  ATR              (as of 2026-06-30)
    ATR(14)    0.550  (55.0 pips)
    ATR%        0.34%
    range/ATR   132.9%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-06-30)
    high        162.651   (-0.45% from high)
    low         145.765   (+11.08% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-06-30)
    RSI(14)     75.41
  returns          (as of 2026-06-30)
     5d return  +0.22%
    20d return  +1.43%
    60d return  +1.40%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.8804%
    ZIRP-2009        0.6396%
    tightening-2015  0.5829%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4159%
    tightening-2022  0.6795%
    easing-2024      0.5974%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-23)
    net         -97,092 contracts (net short JPY)
    net % OI    -22.5%
    net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 130w)
    w/w change  -320
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-06-30)
    vs DXY      +0.55
    vs S&P 500  -0.12
    vs DXY beta +0.77 (26w)