On 2026-07-01, EUR/USD closed at 1.14133, down 0.08% on the day. It trades at 12.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 36.19 is in the 12th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.80% in the 20th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -2.0% of open interest, in the 41st percentile of its own two-year range.
=== EUR/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.14133 -0.076%
price & change (as of 2026-07-01, prior 2026-06-30)
close 1.14133
change -0.00087 (-0.076%, -8.7 pips)
gap -0.00095 (-9.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-01)
range 0.00547 (54.7 pips)
close pos 93.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-01)
20d MA 1.14950 price below by -0.71%
50d MA 1.16069 price below by -1.67%
200d MA 1.16589 price below by -2.11%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-01)
20d stdev 0.332% daily
ATR (as of 2026-07-01)
ATR(14) 0.00663 (66.3 pips)
ATR% 0.58%
range/ATR 82.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-01)
high 1.20236 (-5.08% from high)
low 1.13254 (+0.78% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-01)
RSI(14) 36.19
returns (as of 2026-07-01)
5d return +0.30%
20d return -1.80%
60d return -2.34%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.0543%
ZIRP-2009 0.6640%
tightening-2015 0.4886%
ZIRP-2019 0.3870%
tightening-2022 0.5496%
easing-2024 0.4339%
positioning (as of 2026-06-23)
net -15,410 contracts (net short EUR)
net % OI -2.0%
net%OI range -7.8% … +6.5% (own 130w)
w/w change -6,484
rate differential (US–EU policy)
US (FEDFUNDS) 3.63% (as of 2026-06-01) (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
next FOMC 2026-07-29 (28 days)
EU (ECBMRRFR) 2.40% (as of 2026-06-30)
differential withheld — US rate predates 2026-06-17 FOMC
10Y yield spread (US–EU)
US (DGS10) 4.44% (as of 2026-06-30)
EU (euro-area AAA 10Y) 2.92% (as of 2026-06-30)
spread +1.52%
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-01)
vs DXY -0.83
vs S&P 500 +0.36
vs DXY beta -0.81 (26w)