On 2026-07-02, EUR/USD closed at 1.1378, down 0.31% on the day. It trades at 7.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 32.84 is in the 7th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.99% in the 18th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -2.0% of open interest, in the 41st percentile of its own two-year range.
=== EUR/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.13780 -0.309%
price & change (as of 2026-07-02, prior 2026-07-01)
close 1.13780
change -0.00353 (-0.309%, -35.3 pips)
gap -0.00354 (-35.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-02)
range 0.00963 (96.3 pips)
close pos 2.7% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-02)
20d MA 1.14834 price below by -0.92%
50d MA 1.16003 price below by -1.92%
200d MA 1.16568 price below by -2.39%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-02)
20d stdev 0.336% daily
ATR (as of 2026-07-02)
ATR(14) 0.00685 (68.5 pips)
ATR% 0.60%
range/ATR 140.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-02)
high 1.20236 (-5.37% from high)
low 1.13254 (+0.46% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-02)
RSI(14) 32.84
returns (as of 2026-07-02)
5d return +0.21%
20d return -1.99%
60d return -2.41%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.0543%
ZIRP-2009 0.6640%
tightening-2015 0.4886%
ZIRP-2019 0.3870%
tightening-2022 0.5496%
easing-2024 0.4337%
positioning (as of 2026-06-23)
net -15,410 contracts (net short EUR)
net % OI -2.0%
net%OI range -7.8% … +6.5% (own 130w)
w/w change -6,484
rate differential (US–EU policy)
US (FEDFUNDS) 3.63% (as of 2026-06-01) (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
next FOMC 2026-07-29 (27 days)
EU (ECBMRRFR) 2.40% (as of 2026-07-02)
differential withheld — US rate predates 2026-06-17 FOMC
10Y yield spread (US–EU)
US (DGS10) 4.48% (as of 2026-07-01)
EU (euro-area AAA 10Y) 2.96% (as of 2026-07-01)
spread +1.52%
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-02)
vs DXY -0.83
vs S&P 500 +0.35
vs DXY beta -0.80 (26w)