FX Daily — 2026-07-02

FX daily report for reference date 2026-07-02. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.

CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT  (as of 2026-07-02, config order)

           close   day %    RSI (pct)   52wk  20d ret (pct)  pos net%OI (pct)
EUR/USD   1.1378  -0.31%   32.8 (7th)   7.5%  -1.99% (18th)      -2.0% (41st)
GBP/USD  1.32793  +0.22%  45.9 (36th)  32.0%  -1.10% (31st)      +2.5% (23rd)
USD/JPY  162.539  -0.06%  78.3 (99th)  98.3%  +1.62% (72nd)     -22.5% (25th)
USD/CHF  0.80915  +0.06%  65.3 (91st)  85.4%  +2.29% (85th)     -12.7% (41st)
AUD/USD  0.68921  -0.30%   30.8 (5th)  55.3%  -3.40% (12th)     +18.2% (82nd)
USD/CAD  1.42173  +0.09%  76.7 (99th)  96.0%  +2.33% (88th)     -24.3% (30th)
NZD/USD  0.56755  +0.00%  35.0 (11th)  17.9%  -3.33% (13th)      -22.1% (9th)
EUR/GBP  0.85653  -0.56%   31.3 (3rd)   5.9%  -0.93% (29th)      -6.3% (88th)
EUR/HUF  354.882  +0.04%  52.5 (60th)  12.2%  +0.03% (51st)
USD/HUF  311.913  +0.26%  59.1 (77th)  23.2%  +1.91% (73rd)
GBP/HUF   414.17  +0.48%  59.5 (79th)  18.2%  +0.86% (61st)
CHANGES (vs prior session)
  EUR/GBP  new 52wk low (0.85465)
NOTABLE TODAY  (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = distance from each pair's own median — a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — not a trading signal)
  USD/JPY  RSI(14) 78.30                (99th pct, since 1996)    · surprise  98
  USD/CAD  RSI(14) 76.73                (99th pct, since 2003)    · surprise  98
  EUR/GBP  RSI(14) 31.28                (3rd pct, since 1999)     · surprise  94
market risk (VIX)  (as of 2026-07-03)
  level       15.93
  1yr range   13.47 … 31.05 (252d)
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) ===
  (days remaining from reference date 2026-07-02)
  >> BoC   2026-07-15  (13 days)   · cross-link: USD/CAD (RSI(14) 99th pct)
  >> ECB   2026-07-23  (21 days)   · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 3rd pct)
  >> Fed   2026-07-29  (27 days)   · cross-link: USD/JPY (RSI(14) 99th pct), USD/CAD (RSI(14) 99th pct)
  >> BoE   2026-07-30  (28 days)   · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 3rd pct)
  >> BoJ   2026-07-31  (29 days)   · cross-link: USD/JPY (RSI(14) 99th pct)