USD/CAD: RSI 76.73 (99th pct)

On 2026-07-02, USD/CAD closed at 1.42173, up 0.09% on the day. It trades at 96.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 76.73 is in the 99th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +2.33% in the 88th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.3% of open interest, in the 30th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== USD/CAD  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 1.42173  +0.087%   · RSI(14) 76.73 (99th pct, since 2003) while price > all MAs
     cross-signal: signals align USD/CAD up: RSI(14), 52wk position, 20d return, positioning net%OI, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-02, prior 2026-07-01)
    close       1.42173
    change      +0.00123  (+0.087%, +12.3 pips)
    gap         +0.00115  (+11.5 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-02)
    range       0.00722  (72.2 pips)
    close pos   92.4% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-02)
     20d MA     1.40834   price above by +0.95%
     50d MA     1.38675   price above by +2.52%
    200d MA     1.38404   price above by +2.72%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-02)
    20d stdev   0.213% daily
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-02)
    ATR(14)    0.00619  (61.9 pips)
    ATR%        0.44%
    range/ATR   116.7%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-02)
    high        1.42478   (-0.21% from high)
    low         1.34840   (+5.44% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-02)
    RSI(14)     76.73
  returns          (as of 2026-07-02)
     5d return  -0.13%
    20d return  +2.33%
    60d return  +2.65%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.6422%
    ZIRP-2009        0.5827%
    tightening-2015  0.4850%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4557%
    tightening-2022  0.4399%
    easing-2024      0.3295%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-23)
    net         -83,377 contracts (net short CAD)
    net % OI    -24.3%
    net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 130w)
    w/w change  -18,324
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-02)
    vs DXY      +0.52
    vs S&P 500  -0.20
    vs DXY beta +0.47 (26w)