On 2026-07-03, USD/CAD closed at 1.41903, down 0.19% on the day. It trades at 92.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 70.76 is in the 96th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +2.04% in the 85th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.3% of open interest, in the 30th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.41903 -0.190% · RSI(14) 70.76 (96th pct, since 2003) while price > all MAs
cross-signal: signals split — 20d return up · positioning net%OI up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-03, prior 2026-07-02)
close 1.41903
change -0.00270 (-0.190%, -27.0 pips)
gap -0.00305 (-30.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-03)
range 0.00468 (46.8 pips)
close pos 68.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-03)
20d MA 1.40976 price above by +0.66%
50d MA 1.38774 price above by +2.26%
200d MA 1.38422 price above by +2.52%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-03)
20d stdev 0.224% daily (3rd pct of own history)
vs easing-2024 avg 0.68× (0.224% vs 0.329% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-03)
ATR(14) 0.00617 (61.7 pips)
ATR% 0.43% (3rd pct of own history)
range/ATR 75.9%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-03)
high 1.42478 (-0.40% from high)
low 1.34840 (+5.24% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-03)
RSI(14) 70.76 (96th pct of own history)
returns (as of 2026-07-03)
5d return -0.07%
20d return +2.04%
60d return +2.66%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3293%
positioning (as of 2026-06-23)
next COT as of 2026-06-30 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes) — newer data due
net -83,377 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -24.3%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 130w)
w/w change -18,324
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-02)
vs DXY +0.53
vs S&P 500 -0.20
vs DXY beta +0.48 (26w)