On 2026-07-06, USD/CAD closed at 1.42042, up 0.10% on the day. It trades at 94.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 71.97 is in the 96th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.86% in the 83rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -25.4% of open interest, in the 26th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.42042 +0.098% · 20d vol 0.220% daily (3rd pct, since 2003 (5907 obs))
cross-signal: signals align USD/CAD up: 20d return, positioning net%OI, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-07-06, prior 2026-07-03)
close 1.42042
change +0.00139 (+0.098%, +13.9 pips)
gap +0.00167 (+16.7 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-06)
range 0.00360 (36.0 pips)
close pos 5.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-06)
20d MA 1.41106 price above by +0.66%
50d MA 1.38879 price above by +2.28%
200d MA 1.38437 price above by +2.60%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-06)
20d stdev 0.220% daily (3rd pct of own history)
vs easing-2024 avg 0.67× (0.220% vs 0.329% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-06)
ATR(14) 0.00607 (60.7 pips)
ATR% 0.43% (3rd pct of own history)
range/ATR 59.3%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-06)
high 1.42478 (-0.31% from high)
low 1.34840 (+5.34% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-06)
RSI(14) 71.97 (96th pct of own history)
returns (as of 2026-07-06)
5d return +0.10%
20d return +1.86%
60d return +2.39%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3291%
positioning (as of 2026-06-30)
next COT as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -88,101 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -25.4%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 131w)
w/w change -4,724
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-06)
vs DXY +0.51
vs S&P 500 -0.25
vs DXY beta +0.45 (26w)