FX daily report for reference date 2026-07-03. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT (as of 2026-07-03, config order)
close day % RSI (pct) 52wk 20d ret (pct) pos net%OI (pct)
EUR/USD 1.14227 +0.39% 40.4 (21st) 13.9% -1.64% (22nd) -2.0% (41st)
GBP/USD 1.33387 +0.45% 52.0 (55th) 39.2% -0.66% (38th) +2.5% (23rd)
USD/JPY 161.449 -0.67% 57.5 (69th) 91.8% +0.91% (62nd) -22.5% (25th)
USD/CHF 0.80441 -0.59% 56.0 (71st) 76.7% +1.97% (82nd) -12.7% (41st)
AUD/USD 0.6916 +0.35% 35.9 (12th) 58.1% -3.03% (14th) +18.2% (82nd)
USD/CAD 1.41903 -0.19% 70.8 (96th) 92.5% +2.04% (85th) -24.3% (30th)
NZD/USD 0.56929 +0.31% 38.7 (18th) 21.4% -3.02% (16th) -22.1% (9th)
EUR/GBP 0.8561 -0.05% 30.6 (3rd) 4.5% -1.02% (28th) -6.3% (88th)
EUR/HUF 352.642 -0.63% 46.4 (39th) 7.9% -0.27% (44th)
USD/HUF 309.131 -0.89% 51.9 (57th) 17.7% +1.62% (70th)
GBP/HUF 412.38 -0.43% 54.6 (65th) 15.3% +0.89% (62nd)CHANGES (vs prior session) USD/JPY RSI 57.5 — crossed below 70 (overbought boundary)
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = how far the reading sits from the pair's own median, 0–100 [0 = at median, 100 = an own-history extreme; = 2×|percentile − 50|] — symmetric, so a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — a magnitude, not a trading signal) EUR/GBP RSI(14) 30.56 (3rd pct, since 1999) · surprise 94 USD/CAD RSI(14) 70.76 (96th pct, since 2003) · surprise 92
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-07-03) level 15.93 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d)
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-07-03) >> BoC 2026-07-15 (12 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (RSI(14) 96th pct) >> ECB 2026-07-23 (20 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 3rd pct) >> Fed 2026-07-29 (26 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (RSI(14) 96th pct) >> BoE 2026-07-30 (27 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 3rd pct)