EUR/GBP: RSI 30.56 (3rd pct)

On 2026-07-03, EUR/GBP closed at 0.8561, down 0.05% on the day. It trades at 4.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 30.56 is in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -1.02% in the 28th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -6.3% of open interest, in the 88th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.85610  -0.050%   · RSI(14) 30.56 (3rd pct, since 1999) while price < all MAs
     cross-signal: signals align EUR/GBP down: positioning net%OI, 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-03, prior 2026-07-02)
    close       0.85610
    change      -0.00043  (-0.050%, -4.3 pips)
    gap         -0.00022  (-2.2 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-03)
    range       0.00134  (13.4 pips)
    close pos   3.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-03)
     20d MA     0.86278   price below by -0.77%
     50d MA     0.86442   price below by -0.96%
    200d MA     0.86986   price below by -1.58%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-03)
    20d stdev   0.220% daily   (5th pct of own history)
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.81× (0.220% vs 0.271% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-03)
    ATR(14)    0.00308  (30.8 pips)
    ATR%        0.36%   (2nd pct of own history)
    range/ATR   43.4%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-03)
    high        0.88653   (-3.43% from high)
    low         0.85465   (+0.17% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-03)
    RSI(14)     30.56   (3rd pct of own history)
  returns          (as of 2026-07-03)
     5d return  -0.61%
    20d return  -1.02%
    60d return  -1.65%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2705%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-23)
    next COT     as of 2026-06-30 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes) — newer data due
    net         -2,307 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -6.3%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 130w)
    w/w change  +265
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-02)
    vs DXY      -0.02
    vs S&P 500  +0.21
    vs DXY beta -0.01 (26w)