EUR/GBP: positioning -0.7% (98th pct)

On 2026-07-06, EUR/GBP closed at 0.85649, up 0.05% on the day. It trades at 6.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 32.08 is in the 4th percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -0.87% in the 31st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -0.7% of open interest, in the 98th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.85649  +0.046%   · price < all MAs; positioning net%OI -0.7% (98th pct — top of own 131w range)
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-06, prior 2026-07-03)
    close       0.85649
    change      +0.00039  (+0.046%, +3.9 pips)
    gap         +0.00045  (+4.5 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-06)
    range       0.00237  (23.7 pips)
    close pos   82.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-06)
     20d MA     0.86240   price below by -0.69%
     50d MA     0.86423   price below by -0.90%
    200d MA     0.86978   price below by -1.53%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-06)
    20d stdev   0.221% daily   (5th pct of own history)
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.82× (0.221% vs 0.270% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-06)
    ATR(14)    0.00303  (30.3 pips)
    ATR%        0.35%   (2nd pct of own history)
    range/ATR   78.1%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-06)
    high        0.88653   (-3.39% from high)
    low         0.85453   (+0.23% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-06)
    RSI(14)     32.08   (4th pct of own history)
  returns          (as of 2026-07-06)
     5d return  -0.72%
    20d return  -0.87%
    60d return  -1.73%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2703%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-30)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -249 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -0.7%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 131w)
    w/w change  +2,058
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-06)
    vs DXY      +0.01
    vs S&P 500  +0.25
    vs DXY beta +0.00 (26w)